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The Logistics Trend Radar 7.0 - Insights. Shaping Tomorrow

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Limited
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< 5 Years
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World population by age and sex as predicted by United Nations in 2024, compared to today in 2050

Source: United Nations Department of Economics and Social Affairs (2024): World Population Prospects 2024

Relevance to the Future of Logistics

Technology-Enabled Support in the Workplace

Employees in supply chain workplaces must always be mentally aware and often perform physically laborious tasks. This can be taxing on minds and bodies with the increasing average age of the workforce. New computer and robotic products and services can empower and encourage older workers to continue working in supply chains by improving health and safety while also reducing physical and mental stress.

Technologies such as exoskeletons and teleoperated driving can reduce the risk of physical injury, while other digital support systems like augmented reality (AR) smartglasses, and artificial intelligence (AI)-managed dashboards can reduce memory and cognitive demands. By supporting older employees in their tasks, supply chain organizations can retain long-tenured talent.

Age-Friendly Workplace Policies

Supply chain workers, especially those in operations, often have arduous shifts and contracts that may not be a good fit for those who are older and considering retirement. As much knowledge can be lost when an employee retires, organizations can stop this brain drain by reviewing and reforming work policies to accommodate older employees.

Senior worker support packages, such as flexible hours and part-time employment, can help retain retiring talent in an era of labor shortages. With these accommodating policies, time-experienced employees can still support their colleagues and, in particular, extensively share their valuable knowledge and skills. Furthermore, leadership can provide suitably ergonomic furniture and communicate to the entire team the value of its senior members in order to make the workspace more comfortable for older workers.

Elderly-Centric Customer Experience

With communities aging around the world and with more than six in 10 of today’s seniors in some countries owning a smartphone (and this is likely to increase in the future), business-to-consumer (B2C) logistics and delivery businesses must consider senior needs as part of the overall customer experience, especially in the digital realm. Recently, retailers and digital marketplaces have released ‘elderly-friendly’ versions of their apps, with less crowded interfaces, bigger text, navigation shortcuts, and digital connections with family to share products and manage expenses.

Additionally, vendors should evaluate offering additional services like free advice and pre-purchase and post-purchase support with clear calls-to-action (CTAs) for its elderly consumers. While digital channels are growing and becoming more commonplace, support through phone, mail, and physical locations should not be overlooked. Overall, B2C logistics needs to adapt and incorporate changes to accommodate and meet the expectations of older customers along the entire supply chain – from order placement to last-mile delivery – or risk losing market share to age-friendly competitors.

Last-Mile Value-Added Services

The lockdown policies of the COVID-19 pandemic cultivated the diversification of traditional delivery services with the aim of supporting the older population. With many senior citizens unable to leave their homes and restricted in their daily activities, businesses and governments collaborated to ensure they still received essential goods at home.

To lower the risk of virus exposure, pharmacies, grocery stores, and other businesses started offering contactless home deliveries. While lockdowns and other restricting policies have been removed, last-mile services are anticipated to continue expanding beyond food and product delivery. In-home medical check-ups, home cleaning, transportation services, tech support, and auto-replenishment of goods such as medicines are speculated value-added last-mile services to be tested in the mid-term future.

Senior Product Flow

The consumer market landscape is shifting towards the preferences of an older population. In many geographies, the aging community represents a demographic with substantial purchasing power demanding high quality, longevity, and even more individualized experiences, but it also represents a change in the kinds of products demanded.

For instance, according to Rothschild & Co Asset Management Europe, people aged over 50 have been increasing their spending on products in healthcare, food, leisure, communication, housing, and overall goods and services since 2011 and, simultaneously, decreasing their spending on transportation, alcohol/tobacco, clothing, restaurants/hotels, and education. While fluxes are heavily dependent on the state of the economy, inflation, and other factors, overall demand for common medical and health products like medication, wheelchairs, prosthetics, and nutritional goods is almost certain to rise as more people age.

Logistics organizations need to adequately prepare operationally for the gradual increase of these products in the supply chain and the challenges this will present, especially as providers begin offering more personalized products and bespoke services to older customers.

Challenges

Challenge 1

Technologies to handle or assist older workers with every physically and mentally taxing task may not yet exist or be ready for deployment at scale.

Challenge 2

Compared to younger employees, older employees may require a different set of resources, settings, and learning pathways to acquire fluency with new technology tools.

Challenge 3

Future personnel shortages, especially in seasonal peaks and line-haul transportation, will still likely occur despite elderly-friendly policies.

Challenge 4

Creating parallel services specifically for older customers like apps or last-mile delivery will require additional time and resources.

Challenge 5

Business models for new logistics value-added last-mile services are not yet fully validated.

Technologies to handle or assist older workers with every physically and mentally taxing task may not yet exist or be ready for deployment at scale.
Compared to younger employees, older employees may require a different set of resources, settings, and learning pathways to acquire fluency with new technology tools.
Future personnel shortages, especially in seasonal peaks and line-haul transportation, will still likely occur despite elderly-friendly policies.
Creating parallel services specifically for older customers like apps or last-mile delivery will require additional time and resources.
Business models for new logistics value-added last-mile services are not yet fully validated.

Outlook

The full impact of the Silver Economy trend in supply chain workplaces and marketplaces has yet to materialize. However, as global demographics continually move toward higher ages and as more people retire, we here at DHL see this trend maturing soon, with businesses taking active steps to retain older talent and attract senior customers.

This trend should be PASSIVELY monitored,with developments and use cases on the horizon.

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Sources

  1. World Health Organization: Decade of Healthy Ageing 2020-2030 (2019)
  2. UBS (2020): China’s silver economy
  3. Pew Research Center (2022): Share of those 65 and older who are tech users has grown in the past decade
  4. European Commission (2018): The Silver Economy